#9


GREEN FINANCE
RESEARCH
ADVANCES


IN PARIS AND ONLINE
December 11th – 12th, 2024

Green Finance Research Advances 2024

The Green Finance Research Advances (GFRA) is an international research conference for academics and professionals, co-organized by Banque de France and the Institut Louis Bachelier, with the participation of the Institut de la Finance Durable and the Institute for Climate Economics-I4CE.

We invite academics, regulators and professionals to save the date for the 9th edition of the conference, which will take place in Paris and online on December 11th-12th, 2024.

The objective of this conference is to bring together academics, finance practitioners and regulators, to discuss together research issues related to the integration of climate-related, nature-related and transition-related risks into macro-economic modelling/forecasting and into the risk assessment of the financial sector.


Live

Programme

MORNING SESSION

9:30-10:00 Welcome

Introductory remarks by Jean-Michel Beacco, General Director of ILB
Introductory remarks by Emmanuelle Assouan, General Director of Financial Stability and Operations, Banque de France

10:00-11:00 Keynote 1 Transition risks

Tim Gould IEA Chief Energy Economist
Introduced by Jean Boissinot (or Yann Marin) – Banque de France

11:00-12:00 Contributed talks – Climate physical risks and banking stability

Chair: Elsa Allman – Banque de France

An Efficient SSP-based Methodology for Assessing Climate Exposure in Financial Systems

Presenter: Emmanuel Gobet (Ecole Polytechnique, France)

Flooded Credit Markets: Physical Climate Risk and Bank Lending

Presenter: Serena Fatica (JRC – EC)

12:00-13:00 Lunch – Poster Session

Critical Raw Materials Index (CRMI)
Capucine Nobletz
(ILB – BdF)

The Shareholder Base of Green Bond Issuers at the Dawn of Anti-ESG Movement
Diana Pop
(Universite Angers)

Biodiversity and Climate: Friends or Foes?
Emmanuel Jurczenko
(EDHEC BUSINESS SCHOOL)

Asymmetric Impact of ESG on Credit Risk
Rupali Vashisht
(University of Southampton)

Sensitivity Analysis of emissions Markets: A Discrete-Time Radner Equilibrium Approach
Mekonnen Tadese Demeke
(LPSM Laboratoire)

AFTERNOON SESSION

13:00-14:00 Keynote 2 Adaptation Finance

Swenja Sumiski Prof. in practice at the LSE
Introduced by Cristina Penasco – Banque de France

14:00 – 15:15 Panel – on transition planning (Main points about the papers and conversation)

Chair: Stephane Voisin – ILB

New Facts on Carbon Pledges of European Banks

Presenter: Cristina Angelico (Banca D’Italia)

Review of Portfolio Alignment Methodologies

Presenter: Julie Raynaud (ILB)

Comparing two mathematical approaches to aggregate individual climate performances at the portfolio level

Presenter: Imène Ben Rejeb-Mzah (BNP)

Implied temperature rise of equity portfolios: a sensitivity analysis framework

Presenter: Vincent Bouchet (Scientific Portfolio)

15:15-15:30 COMFORT BREAK

15:30-17:00 Contributed talks – Modelling natural capital depletion and nature-related risks

Chair: Elise Gourier

Extreme Seas, Climate Change, and Banking Stability: A Bottom-up Temporospatial Stress Test in the Context of Domestic Real Estate

Presenter: Quyen Nguyen (GNS Science, New Zealand)

Nature Stress Testing and Value at Risk

Presenter: Edouard M. Pineau (EthiFinance)

Spatially Explicit Metrics for Biodiversity Loss

Presenter: Wassim Le Lann (Naturalis Biodiversity Center)

PARALLEL SESSIONS

17:00-18:30 Contributed talks – Policy

Chair: Cristina Peñasco – Banque de France

Approaching Disaster Risk Financing in a Structured Way: A Possible Framework for the EU Member States

Presenter: Diana Radu (European Commission)

Adapting to Change: Green Technology Tax Credits

Presenter: Kinga Tchorzewska (Kozminski University, Poland)

Mechanisms to Prevent Carbon Lock-in in Transition Finance

Presenter: Valentina Bellesi (OECD)

17:00-18:30 Contributed talks – Credit risk session

Chair: Jean Guillaume Sahuc – Banque de France

Impact of the Carbon Price on Credit Portfolio’s Loss with Stochastic Collateral

Presenter: Lionel Sopgoui (LPSM, Université Paris Cité – Imperial College London)

Credit Risk Where It’s Due: Carbon Pricing and Corporate Exposure

Presenter: Laurent Millischer (Joint Vienna Institute)

A Semiparametric Location-Scale Model for Assessing Climate Risk

Presenter: Guillaume Flament (ENSAI, CREST, Square Research Center)

MORNING SESSION

9:00-10:00 Keynote 3 Sustainable Investment Strategies

Perrine Toledano Director of Research and Policy Columbia Center on Sustainable Investment
Introduced by Cecile Goubet – Institut de la Finance Durable

PARALLEL SESSIONS

10:00-11:30 Contributed talks – Adaptation finance and resilience strategies

Chair: Elise Kremer – Banque de France

Adaptation Finance in Emerging Markets

Presenter: Yuwei Liao (HK University of Sciences and Technology)

Climate Minsky Moments and Endogenous Financial Crises

Presenter: Matthias Rottner (Bank for International Settlements)

Green spread in the US Municipal Bonds

Presenter: Philippe Dupuy (Grenoble Ecole de Management)

10:00-11:30 Contributed talks – Asset pricing

Chair: Gauthier Vermandel – Polytechnique

The Impact of Climate Risk on Global Equity Valuation

Presenter: Riccardo Rebonato (EDHEC-Risk Climate Impact Institute, EDHEC Business School)

Green Intermediary Asset Pricing

Presenter: Maxime Sauzet (Boston University)

A structural model for ESG linked bank debt financing

Presenter: Audrius Jukonis (Šiaulių Bankas)

11:30-11:45 COMFORT BREAK

PARALLEL SESSIONS

Chair: Peter Tankov– ILB

11:45-13:15 Contributed talks – Greenwashing

Can Investors Curb Greenwashing?

Presenter: Olivier David Zerbib (CREST, ENSAE, Institut Polytechnique de Paris)

A Greenwashing Index

Presenter: Elise Gourier (ESSEC Business School)

Greenwashing : Evidence from corporate ESG bond market

Presenter: Wilson Tsz Shing Wan (HKUST)

11:45-13:15 Contributed talks – Carbon markets and investment challenges

Chair: Stephane Dees – Banque de France

The Puzzle of Carbon Allowance Spread

Presenter: Roberto Baviera (Politecnico di Milano)

Do Carbon Markets Undermine Private Climate Investment?

Presenter: Pat Akey (INSEAD)

Going Green: Will the R-star Shine Brighter?

Presenter: Marie Jézéquel-Royer (LEO, Université d’Orléans)

13:15-14:15 LUNCH BREAK

AFTERNOON SESSION

14:15-15:45 Contributed talks – Financing the climate transition

Chair: Capucine Nobletz – Banque de France & ILB

A European Climate Bond

Presenter: Irene Monasterolo (Utrecht University, CEPR, WU Wien)

High Voltage: Financing the Path to Zero Coal

Presenter: Fabio Grieco (BdF)

Optimal Climate Policy as if the Transition Mattered

Presenter: Frank Venmans (LSE)

15:45-16:45 Panel – on data, metrics and the use of IA/LLM in sustainable finance

Chair: Peter Tankov – ILB

Predicting corporate environmental performance

Presenter: Quentin M.Moreau (HK University of Science and Technology)

Unmasking Climate Change: Traversing Storms, Cold, Heat and Fire in Corporate Earnings Calls through a Hybrid Taxonomy and GPT-based Methodology

Presenter: Lea Zicchino (Prometeia, Johns Hopkins University)

Estimating Corporate Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Presenter: Thibaud Barreau (ILB)

16:45-17:00 COMFORT BREAK

17:00-17:45 Award of the Banque de France “Young Researchers in Green Finance”

Speaker: François Haas (Banque de France)
Short presentation(s) by Laurate(s)

17:45-18:00 Concluding remarks

Scientific committee

  • Peter Tankov, Institut Louis Bachelier
  • Thomas Allen, Banque de France
  • Frederic Ghersi, CIRED
  • Stephane Voisin, Institut Louis Bachelier
  • Delphine Lautier, Paris Dauphine - PSL
  • Antoine Madel, Pantheon-Sorbonne
  • Olivier David Zerbib, ENSAE ParisTech
  • Gauthier Vermandel, Ecole Polytechnique
  • Capucine Nobletz, Institut Louis Bachelier/Banque de France
  • Elsa Allman, Banque de France
  • Stephane Dees, Banque de France
  • Irene Monasterolo, Utrecht University
  • Jean Guillaume Sahuc, Banque de France
  • Jeff Althouse, World Bank
  • Cristina, Banque de France

Organising Committee

  • Rose Seo, Banque de France
  • Julien Mathiot, Banque de France
  • Fériel Bettaieb, Institut Louis Bachelier
  • Iona Pelletier, Banque de France